Кліматичні ризики для какао

Climate change may reduce the suitability of some current cocoa-growing regions, especially in West Africa, where temperatures are rising and drought risk is increasing. But projections do not say cocoa farming will become impossible across all current regions by 2050. A model study using 19 climate models estimated that by the 2050s, 7% of the current West African “cocoa belt” would have very low climatic suitability, 55% medium suitability, and 38% high suitability. Results depend on the scenario; adaptation, shade trees, and shifts in production can change the outcome.